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  • #796309
    743 roadmaster
    743 roadmaster
    Participant

    http://abcnews.go.com/US/caravan-migrants-waking-mexican-side-border-refused-us/story?id=54826313

    Upward of 100 people from Central America who traveled north in a so-called “migrant caravan” to seek asylum in the United States woke up on the Mexican side of the border this morning and little action has been taken to change the situation throughout the day.

    “The Caravan is largely broken up thanks to the strong immigration laws of Mexico and their willingness to use them so as not to cause a giant scene at our Border. Because of the Trump Administrations actions, Border crossings are at a still UNACCEPTABLE 46 year low. Stop drugs!” he wrote on April 5

    ——–Even in the article the numbers are conflicting. 100,..400,.. It looks like Mexico is making an attempt to slow down the number of illegals.

    mgtow is its own worst enemy- https://www.campusreform.org/

    Skeptisk
    Skeptisk
    Participant

    He is married into the Kardashians, and his wife is already defending him. That family going red pill could be the fuse to implode social media as the social media companies and media trying to censor them while making money off of them.

    What I got from his tweets was this:

    You don’t have to agree with trump but the mob can’t make me not love him. We are both dragon energy. He is my brother. I love everyone. I don’t agree with everything anyone does. That’s what makes us individuals. And we have the right to independent thought.

    And

    Obama was in office for eight years and nothing in Chicago changed.

    "Expecting to find a decent woman on a dating site is like dumpster diving and expecting to come out with a gourmet meal." Won'tGetFooledAgain

    Skeptisk
    Skeptisk
    Participant

    "Expecting to find a decent woman on a dating site is like dumpster diving and expecting to come out with a gourmet meal." Won'tGetFooledAgain

    #796184

    In reply to: Drudge this morning

    Sidecar
    sidecar
    Participant

    Rise of women-only coworking spaces…

    Meanwhile more and more companies are quietly going male-only, but they’re not writing articles about it.

    I was recently talking to a general contractor I’ve hired for some work about doing business under Trump instead of Obama. Somehow the conversation shifted to meetoo. He casually told me he just fired his last female employee. She was flirting too much with his subs (he hinted she was f~~~ing some of them) and he didn’t want to face a meetoo lawsuit down the road. He’s now running a man only business and intends to keep it that way, permanently, except he’s having some trouble finding a male replacement for her.

    I foresee a boom in demand in the near future for male business managers and other light duty office positions traditionally held by women as more and more female liabilities are quietly shuffled out of one company after another.

    Thousands of girls joining boys as Cub Scouts…

    Scouting is dead. It has been for a long time. It’s been hemorrhaging members for years, and now it’s barely a twitching corpse.

    Girl Scouts are finished because all the girls with any drive will be rushing to the “Boy” Scouts. they’re little more than cookie whores at this point.

    “Boy” Scouts are dead because boys aren’t signing up thanks to all the girls joining. They’ve seen that season of Survivor and want none of it. And, of course, it’s only a matter of time before the false accusations and lawsuits start happening.

    Funny – I tried to post this days ago. Seems it went into suspended animation for a bit.

    It’s a short post composed almost entirely with external links. That probably triggered the spam filter for a while pending human approval.

    Ranger One
    Ranger One
    Participant

    “Who will buy treasuries when social security stops buying them?”

    From various published public reports, the original plan by the globalists under Obama was to federalize/seize 410K accounts and other savings by U.S. citizens. Though, I doubt President Trump would allow this.

    I can see how this could play.

    Economic crash engineered by the globalists to be used as a pretext for federalizing of all private property and wealth held by non-globalists U.S. citizens to go into the coffers of the globalists and enslavement of the U.S. population.

    President Trump refuses to do this. President Trump is deposed by the deep state and globalists. Then, immediately after, the globalist figures heads in charge announce they are by fiat banning/criminalizing private ownership of guns, censoring/criminalizing all “hate speech” (anything that disagrees with globalism), federalizing all private savings accounts held by U.S. citizens, and federalizing the election process (which Obama did by executive order on his last month in office, but the Trump Administration has ignored and not implemented) to make sure the globalists never have another nationalist win elected office.

    Then, all hell breaks loose in the U.S.

    Then as all hell breaks loose, a few people I know fan out with sniper rifles and globalists start growing 3rd eyes in their forehead as a result.

    All my life I've had doubts about who I am, where I belonged. Now I'm like the arrow that springs from the bow. No hesitation, no doubts. The path is clear. And what are you? Alive. Everything else is negotiable. Women have rights; men have responsibilities; MGTOW have freedom. Marriage is for chumps. If someone stands in the way of true justice, you simply walk up behind them and stab them in the heart-R'as al Ghul.

    Narwhal
    narwhal
    Participant

    I found it worth listening to, because it just shows how hypocritical and out of touch liberals are. It would be interesting to compare and contrast this with something that was done for Obama.

    And it’s not like you can’t fun of Trump, but you should understand what is and isn’t funny. What is just mean, petty, and looking more like a jealous bully then good natured fun. Make fun of Trump’s tweets. make fun of his style. make fun of his preference for fast food. But making fun of his sexual performance? huh? Trying to make jokes about him being poor? Then go on to make fun of others in the white house, outright calling them con artists and insulting how they look…them being women on top of that? Really pretty weak.

    The really pathetic thing is that Trump has been consistently stating that the press is biased against him since day one. This was a great opportunity for the press to attempt to disprove that idea by treating him fairly and may be making fun of themselves a bit. They failed at that miserably.

    Ok. Then do it.

    743 roadmaster
    743 roadmaster
    Participant

    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/president-trump-bashes-white-house-correspondents-dinner/story?id=54827468
    Trump says White House correspondents’ dinner is ‘dead,’ slams comedian

    President Donald Trump declared the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner “dead” and called for the event to be scrapped or reinvented going forward, adding his voice to the widespread criticism that comedy routine at Saturday night’s annual event crossed a line with personal attacks on some members of the president’s senior leadership.

    ——–I could tell him it has been dead for the nation for a long time.

    mgtow is its own worst enemy- https://www.campusreform.org/

    #796062
    Narwhal
    narwhal
    Participant

    Please. Mexico isn’t doing anything. Let’s not twist facts around so they sound more interesting.

    Mexico was never going to fund the wall directly. What Trump always meant was that Mexico is dependent on us, so he was going to leverage that relationship to fund the wall. I don’t think that’s really changed. However, it looks like we will need to get going on the wall before we can leverage trade and such to provide funding. Even then, who knows whether that will really fund the wall fully.

    I don’t blame Trump for stating he’d shutdown the government. Congress passed a s~~~ty funding bill last time, and he can’t afford to let it slide again. It’s not just the wall, but his voter’s no longer want to pay for s~~~ty services.

    As for Mexico, they are playing politics. They’ve been getting a great deal for decades now, and you can’t blame them for wanting to keep that deal. They will claim victim and liberals will fall for it. I don’t think it will work though.

    As far as the caravan stuff goes, it’s utter nonsense. The disregard for rule of law, US, Mexican, and International is just laughable. The US is not required in any way to take these people in as refugees. Mexico is ultimately responsible, because that’s where they are now. They never should have let them in to their country to be honest, but they thought they could pan them off to the US. But there have been too much media coverage on this for Trump to let this happen. Sure, Trump will be branded as evil by the media, but there is no reason Mexico can’t handle this. If he does let him in, he will lose half his base.

    Ok. Then do it.

    “Who will buy treasuries when social security stops buying them?”

    From various published public reports, the original plan by the globalists under Obama was to federalize/seize 410K accounts and other savings by U.S. citizens. Though, I doubt President Trump would allow this.

    I can see how this could play.

    Economic crash engineered by the globalists to be used as a pretext for federalizing of all private property and wealth held by non-globalists U.S. citizens to go into the coffers of the globalists and enslavement of the U.S. population.

    President Trump refuses to do this. President Trump is deposed by the deep state and globalists. Then, immediately after, the globalist figures heads in charge announce they are by fiat banning/criminalizing private ownership of guns, censoring/criminalizing all “hate speech” (anything that disagrees with globalism), federalizing all private savings accounts held by U.S. citizens, and federalizing the election process (which Obama did by executive order on his last month in office, but the Trump Administration has ignored and not implemented) to make sure the globalists never have another nationalist win elected office.

    Then, all hell breaks loose in the U.S.

    #796047
    Narwhal
    narwhal
    Participant

    I enjoyed the movie. It has it’s issues, like any movie, but considering all that they tried to do, I find it really hard to complain too much.

    Yes, Banner was annoying. His character has changed from being a scientist to a comedy relief bafoon. It was ok in the last Thor, since he’d been away for so long. But back on earth, it would have made more sense for him to try and help with vision then to put on an iron man suit.

    As for the wakanda fields battle, I kept wondering why they didn’t use any tanks or aircraft that they had. Wouldn’t that have been a lot more successful. But, I suppose that would have made the battle less entertaining then hand-to-hand combat, and would have diminished the value of war machine and falcon.

    In the end, I don’t think it’s going to be my favorite marvel movie. It’s not the best story, best acting, or character development. Maybe not even the best effects. However, it’s rather unique in what it attempted to do. It’s something that I wanted to see done. Lots of team ups that we may never see again in crazy comic books ways. I’m good with it.

    Why in hell you guys give your hard earned money to the cultural Marxists of Hollywood is beyond me—are you guys really that stupid?

    I disagree with much of the politics of the actors, and probably many behind the scenes. And sure, some of the money will surely go turn towards causes I disagree with. I’m not huge on boycotts, but do chose not to spend money in places at times. In this case, I wanted to be entertained. If people stupidly believe that watching the movie means that I agree with the makers of the movie on everything, that will be absolutely wrong. You could even argue that the illusion that Hollywood has my (our) support because I enjoyed a movie they made could be more damaging than them believing I don’t support them because I stayed at home. Hollywood certainly believe that Trump would never win, yet here we are.

    Ok. Then do it.

    Y_
    Y_
    Participant

    Who will buy US Treasuries when Social Security stops buying them? [1]

    Chris Hamilton
    Econimica
    Feb 21, 2018

    As of the latest Treasury update showing federal debt as of Wednesday, February 15, 2018 – Federal Debt jumped by an additional $50 billion from the previous day to $20.76 trillion. This is an increase of $266 billion essentially since the most recent debt ceiling passage. Of course, this isn’t helping the debt to GDP ratio at 105%.

    DEBT/GDP %

    But here’s the problem. In order for the American economy to register growth, as measured by GDP (the annual change in total value of all goods produced and services provided in the US), that growth is now based solely upon the growth in Federal Debt. Without the Federal Deficit Spending, the economy would be shrinking.

    The chart below shows the annual change in GDP minus the annual federal deficit incurred. Since 2008, the annual deficit spending has been far greater than the economic activity that deficit spending has produced.

    GDP - deficit

    The net difference is shown below from 1950 through 2017 plus estimated through 2025 based on 2.5% average annual GDP growth and $1.2 trillion annual deficits. It is not a pretty picture and it isn’t getting better.

    Even if we assume an average of 3.5% GDP growth (that the US will not have a recession(s) over a 15 year period) and “only” $1 trillion annual deficits from 2018 through 2025, the US still continues to move backward indefinitely.

    The cumulative impact of all those deficits is shown in chart #1 above. Federal debt is at $20.8 trillion and the annual interest expense on that debt is jumping, now over a half trillion.

    So, for America to appear as if it is moving forward, it has to go backward into greater debt? If you weren’t troubled so far, here is where the stuff starts to hit the fan.

    With the change to the Unified budget, effective as of 1969, the Social Security surplus was “unified” into the federal budget. The government gave themselves a ready buyer for US debt while simultaneously allowing the SS surplus to be spent in “the present”.

    Congressionally mandated to buy US debt, from 1970 to 2008, the Intra-Governmental (IG) Holdings (over half from the Social Security surplus) purchased over 45% of all Federal Debt issued. This meant “only” 55% of US debt was auctioned into the market, or “marketable debt”.

    But the annual SS surplus has declined by 90% (from over $200 billion a year at the peak in 2007 to perhaps $20 billion this year) and, according to the SS trust fund, the last surplus will be recorded in 2020 or 2021.

    After that (or essentially now), the Congressionally mandated buyer (which consumed almost half of all US federal debt for 4 decades) will cease. Not only will the IG Holdings no longer be a buyer, they will need additional debt created to make good on those $2.9 trillion in SS “reserves”…and all the debt issued will be “marketable”.

    The chart below shows the “marketable” debt vs. IG Holdings. As noted above, IG consumed nearly half of all US debt up to 2008 – but since 2008, IG has consumed just over 10% of all the new issuance and nearly 90% of new debt been auctioned into the market. IG has essentially ceased to be a buyer – meaning that marketable debt will continue to soar.

    So who is a buyer of US Treasury debt? Only three possible groups remaining; 1. “foreigners”, 2. the Federal Reserve, and 3. private domestic sources (pensions, banks, mutual funds, individuals).

    I will show that foreigners have essentially ceased buying, that the Federal Reserve isn’t a buyer and in fact is reducing its balance sheet…and this means there is only one buyer remaining to soak up the surging marketable debt.

    But before I detail these – I want you to remember Harry Markopolos. Markopolos is a financial investigator and he gave clear evidence of Bernie Madoff’s Ponzi to the SEC as early as 2000, again in 2001, and again in 2005. The SEC did not see what they didn’t want to see and it wasn’t until the great financial crisis of ’08 that Madoff’s fraud was exposed and the loss of approximately $65 billion realized (below, from Wikipedia).

      When Markopolos obtained a copy of Madoff’s revenue stream, he spotted problems right away. Madoff’s strategy was so poorly designed that Markopolos didn’t see how it could make money. The biggest red flag, however, was that the return stream rose steadily with only a few downticks—represented graphically by a nearly perfect 45-degree angle. According to Markopolos, anyone who understood the underlying math of the markets would have known they were too volatile even in the best conditions for this to be possible. As he later put it, a return stream like the one Madoff claimed to generate “simply doesn’t exist in finance.” He eventually concluded that there was no legal way for Madoff to deliver his purported returns using the strategies he claimed to use. As he saw it, there were only two ways to explain the figures—either Madoff was running a Ponzi scheme (by paying established clients with newer clients’ money) or front running (buying stock for his own account, based on knowledge about his clients’ orders).

    With that in mind and the largest single buyer (IG) now a seller, let’s look at the remaining “buyers” and consider the nearly $21 trillion US Treasury market.

    BUYERS –

    Federal Reserve presently allowing Treasury bonds and MBS (mortgage backed securities) to mature, reducing it’s balance sheet on a monthly basis.

    The Fed plans to roughly halve its balance sheet from $4.5 to $2.2 trillion between now and 2022 (a $250 billion annual reduction in Treasury holdings).

    That is a net increase of available Treasury debt of $250 billion annually above and beyond the trillion plus in new issuance and trillions being rolled over every year.

    Foreigners
    presently hold $6.3 trillion in US Treasury debt but since QE ended in late 2014, foreigners have essentially gone on strike, adding just $150 billion in a little over three years (chart below).

    Foreigners added an average:

    ’00 to ’07 : +$160 billion annually
    ’08 to ’14 : +$540 billion annually
    ’15 to ’18 : +$50 billion annually

    The current pace of foreign Treasury buying is less than 1/3 the pace of the early ’00’s and a 90% reduction from the pace of ’08 through ’14, when QE was in effect

    Just three buyers hold over half (55%) of all debt held by foreigners; China, Japan, and what I call the BLICS (Belgium, Luxembourg, Ireland, Cayman Island, Switzerland). The chart below shows each nations/groups US Treasury holdings from ’00 through December of ’17. Entirely noteworthy:

    China ’00 to ’11 +$1.2 trillion…but China has been a net seller of Treasury’s since the July of 2011 debt ceiling debate

    Japan ’00 to ’11 +$600 billion…Japan’s holdings did rise after the July 2011 debate but are fast declining now toward the same quantity it held in July of 2011

    BLICS ’00 to ’11 +$300 billion…It has been the $800 billion surge in BLICS buying since July 2011 that has kept foreign demand alive.

    As for the BLICS, their buying patterns since ’07 have grown increasingly bizarre, as if profit isn’t their motive? However, if maintaining a bid for US debt is the motive, the massive surges in buying at the worst of times makes sense.

    So, I’ve shown US federal debt is surging but the only thing keeping the US economy “growing” is the size of the deficit and debt incurred. I’ve show the traditional sources of net Treasury buying have ceased except for the domestic public.

    That the Intra-Governmental holdings are essentially peaking and will be a net seller within a couple years and all new debt issued will be “marketable”.

    I’ve shown the Federal Reserve plans to “roll off” approximately $250 billion a year for up to four years. I’ve shown that China ceased net buying Treasury debt in 2011 and foreigners have essentially gone on strike since QE ended.

    The only real foreign bid remaining is from some pretty shady demand that looks an awful lot like it could be central bank buying, but regardless the BLICS, foreign demand for Treasurys (on a net basis) has essentially stopped.

    This leaves the domestic public to purchase all the surging new issuance, plus the portion the Fed (and soon enough, the IG) is rolling off, and with little to no assistance from foreigners (even the possibility the strike turns into an outright selloff!?!).

    The domestic public currently holds about $6 trillion in Treasury debt and will need to buy in excess of $1.5 trillion annually (indefinitely) between picking up the roll off and the new issuance.

    If the public “willingly” do this at low interest rates, it will represent 7.5% of GDP going toward Treasury purchases that yield well below needed returns.

    If the Public don’t do this “willingly”, interest rates will soar far more than shown above and the US will be overwhelmed by debt service.

    The only other option is that the Federal Reserve makes a U-turn to re-start QE and openly engage in endless monetization.

    Chris Hamilton
    Econimica
    Feb 21, 2018

    [Y : A few things I wish to add.

    This is by no means the full story on the US debt market, but a good enough primer for understanding who buys debt and what the future of US debt is likely to be.

    The impact of the Bush tax cuts is shown in the following diagram. Again we can expect much the same reaction to debt from the Trump tax cuts.

    It was stated the Federal Reserve is liquidating $2.2 trillion of the M1 currency supply over the next 3 years. This is not exactly correct.

    This is QE currency used to prop up the banks and create liquidity after 2008. However the banks created the stock market bubble, the tech bubble, the housing loan bubble and the auto loan bubble with this currency as the base.

    Now think of what is gong to happen when the Federal Reserve removes this amount of M1 [2] from circulation at the same time raising the Fed Funds Rate (or loosely the interest rate) – the impact on M2 & M3 will be exponential. M4 is a different matter and can be taken as inconsequential.

    What is mentioned in passing is the social security crisis where funds are now unable to pay retirement pensions to millions of baby boomers. As pensions are underwritten by the Federal Government, guess who is going to pick up the tab for this?

    The bond market yields for the April 2018 Treasury Auctions have already begun to rise above 3% – which indicates that as expected – buyers are struggling to accommodate the $3 trillion worth of bonds on sale. This is again – as expected – having a significant effect on the stock market.

    The Plunge Protection team seems to be having a tough time keeping the yields down. There is as yet no inversion of the yield curve but the 2, 10 and 30 year yields are starting to flatline.

    It appears traders are liquifying assets to meet margin calls on higher Fed Fund Rates. This is the current view of market watchers. If the current FFR is increased at the next FOMC by 25 basis points then we are expecting a market correction led by FAANG stocks. Expect high volatility if you are setting hard stops or trading options. Exercise extreme caution in CD’s and naked short positions.

    -Y].

    [1] https://econimica.blogspot.sg/2018/02/who-is-it-that-wants-to-buy-trillions.html
    [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply

    #796036
    KevinStyles
    KevinStyles
    Participant

    I don’t really blame Mexico for telling Trump where he can shove his wall and not pay. It’s a US initiative , specifically it’s a Trump initiative so he should have funded it in the budget. It’s not another countries responsibility to pay for that and it’s stupid to think that it should be.

    #795928

    President Trump is likely politically prepping for a NAFTA pull out.

    #795785
    Sidecar
    sidecar
    Participant

    Damn. I thought mormons had more sense.

    This is stupid! If these spoiled crybabies can’t handle a college exam, how are they going to make it in the real world?

    It’s a totally wrong approach, too. F~~~ “cry closets”. The schools I went to had established “quiet hours”, and during the weeks of midterms and finals we had “noisy minutes”.

    We didn’t cry during noisy minutes.

    We f~~~ing burned s~~~.

    I’m talking like something out of a bad science fiction adaptation full of angry, frustrated nerds. It’s a wonder nobody died or was even seriously injured. That’s how you de-stress for exams.

    They won’t, because they’re going to whine and cry and pout when something doesn’t go their way.

    With any luck, Darwin will take care of them. Either way, that’s their problem, not ours.

    I bet it got crowded when Trump got elected president.

    Imagine how crowded it’s going to be when all the unsustainable education entitlements go away.

    And when they graduate they will be expecting one in every office, as they will find work is a lot more stressful than student life.

    You would not believe some of the applicants I’ve turned down. And I expect another crop of failures with papers in a month or two.

    It’s like the number of competent graduates remains the same every year at about a half dozen or so, but the percentage of useless adult day care alumni keeps increasing.

    #795763
    ResidentEvil7
    ResidentEvil7
    Participant

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/university-of-utah-cry-closet-lets-students-just-let-it-all-out-during-finals/

    This is stupid! If these spoiled crybabies can’t handle a college exam, how are they going to make it in the real world? They won’t, because they’re going to whine and cry and pout when something doesn’t go their way. I bet it got crowded when Trump got elected president.

    This cry room has stuffed animals for comfort. How stupid!

    https://themanszone.webs.com/

    Did Trump attend this? My understanding is that he didn’t. So, if this event is of so little importance to Trump, and wasn’t even something I was going to watch, why should I care about it? I really don’t care about the press and the president roasting one another, unless someone assembles a best of clips of some funny stuff, that I can watch. I really don’t have time for these.

    "I am my own thang. Any questions?" - Davis S Pumpkins.

    https://nypost.com/2018/04/28/trump-threatens-government-shutdown-if-border-security-isnt-funded/

    Trump said Mexico would pay for the wall. Mexico hasn’t paid for the wall. Now Trump is saying he may shut the government down, unless he gets funding for the wall. Since Mexico hasn’t paid, and showed no signs of paying, we are looking at a situation where Mexico may be responsible for the shut down of the U.S government.

    "I am my own thang. Any questions?" - Davis S Pumpkins.

    #795663

    In reply to: 'Sup


    Anonymous

    Iys all bs got called tuna for denouncein Trump

    I saved him by scraping with him and deaming him a male.

    Kanoobie attacted me out of the blue.

    They are full of Chad envy amd hate.

    Chad dont care what they think.

    Incorrect. We see you for what you truly are. I truly suspect that you do not even know what you truly are. You have issues man. We are actually here to help you.

    Btw, I thought you were leaving?

    #795614

    In reply to: 'Sup


    Anonymous

    Iys all bs got called tuna for denouncein Trump

    I saved him by scraping with him and deaming him a male.

    Kanoobie attacted me out of the blue.

    They are full of Chad envy amd hate.

    Chad dont care what they think.

    #795562

    Anonymous

    3.The military actually is one of the responsibilities of the federal government, as established in the constitution, so military expenditures are constitutionally justified. Welfare? Most of those other slices of the pie up there? No. Not at all.

    Ha, if this country still obeyed Constitutional Law in regards to Military and War Obama and Trump would both have been impeached for waging war without Congressional approval… The Constitution is basically D.C. toilet paper now.

    Our founding fathers wanted none of this s~~~, yet here we are, complete with dudes like you trying to justify half of the bulls~~~ they tried to make sure would never happen.

    Left/Right means nothing, either you are for spending other people’s money to further your goals/special interests, or you are not, doesn’t really matter what it is, don’t matter to me, it is theft of my money to be used for your bulls~~~.

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