Xi Jinping And Kim Jong-Un: Make Korea United Again!

[Y_Participant 4591]

Xi Jinping And Kim Jong-Un: Make Korea United Again! [1][2]
Federico Pieraccini
The Strategic Culture Foundation,
J Berkshire Miller
Council on International Policy

[The current North Asia conflict has a long history and I invite the reader to refer to my previous article on how it started and the continual refusal of the USA to mediate for peace

/forums/topic/the-case-for-north-korea-a-rebuttal-against-the-us-deep-state/

Regardless of posturing, the USA cannot afford any more wars and this may be their last best hope to strike a deal that secures Asian cooparation.

Again, thanks for reading – Y]

The Meeting

Earlier this week, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un traveled to Beijing to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping, making his first trip outside of country since he assumed power in late 2011.

During the secretly guarded visit, Kim reportedly expressed his commitment to the denuclearisation on the Korean Peninsula if the conditions are right.

According to China’s state-run news agency Xinhua, Kim expressed that; “the issue of denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula can be resolved, if South Korea and the United States respond to our efforts with goodwill, create an atmosphere of peace and stability while taking progressive and synchronous measures for the realisation of peace.”

Meanwhile Xi extolled the importance of historic bond between China and North Korea and accepted Kim’s invitation to visit Pyongyang in the coming months.

Kim’s visit to China is the latest in the rapid succession of recent developments on the Korean Peninsula which has been dizzying. First, there were the series of diplomatic exchanges between South and North Korea during and after the Winter Olympic Games in Pyeongchang.

These steps culminated in an historic meeting between senior South Korean officials in Pyongyang with Kim Jong-un in early March.

But perhaps more importantly, Pyongyang has now secured itself an important insurance card by shoring up its relations with Beijing. The move both increases leverage for Kim ahead of his upcoming summit with South Korean President Moon Jae-in and his potential meeting subsequently with Trump

The Xi-Kim summit also clearly signifies that China continues to be the most important player – outside of the US – in working towards a resolution of tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Beijing is often described as Pyongyang’s “lifeline” and has been resistant to turn its back on the Kim regime despite its frustrations with the rise in provocations and growth of its nuclear and missile programs.

Anlysis

Kim Jong-un’s visit reveals much about the tactics that will be used in the negotiations between the Korean leader and the American president; it also consolidates a historical relationship between Pyongyang and Beijing

The recent meeting in Beijing between the two supreme leaders of DPRK and China has captured global attention. The summit remained secret throughout its duration, revealed by the Chinese leader only when the visit had ended and the Korean leader was on his way back home.

Rumours of the encounter continued to be denied by the Chinese foreign minister right up to Tuesday. The denials had a lot to do with the fact that a positive outcome for the meeting, this being the first one, could not be guaranteed. The final statements, the relaxed atmosphere, the many images displaying mutual smiles and acknowledgement reveal that the two leaders of the Chinese and Korean Communist parties are on the same page.

Despite wishful thinking from the US, which interpreted the lack of meetings in previous years as a change in Chinese attitudes towards North Korea, the meeting highlighted positive impressions by Xi Jinping about the developments on the peninsula as well as confirmed the strategic thinking of Kim Jong-un.

Kim Jong-Un’s strategy deserves particular attention. The ability to deter aggression from the United States and South Korea existed well before Pyongyang’s development of a nuclear deterrent, thanks to the enormous number of artillery guns it has directed towards Seoul.

A possible conflict would have caused millions of deaths, destroyed the American forces on the peninsula (the American bases would have been the first to be eliminated, really only being there to serve as a tripwire), and upset the alliance with Seoul, which would have borne an unacceptable toll.

Kim Jong-un and his father had already secured a powerful enough deterrent to ward off aggression against their country. The strategy behind developing nuclear weapons becomes more clear following the just-concluded meeting with Xi Jinping.

Kim Jong-un’s willingness to meet Donald Trump in bilateral talks, and the possibility that Pyongyang will give up its nuclear arsenal, stand out.

The meeting with Xi Jinping in all likelihood focused on the demands to be made to Trump: the removal of the North American presence in the south of the country is something on which China and DPRK are in strong agreement.

The desired outcome for Beijing and Pyongyang (but also for Moscow) would see Washington remove its forces from South Korea in exchange for opening up North Korea’s sites to international inspections. China and Russia would be happy to see the US threat to their nuclear deterrence removed (even if, with the latest hypersonic weapons revealed by Putin, the problem does not seem to arise).

This would also bring great advantages to Seoul, which could embark on a rapprochement with the North, starting with a possible reunification of the peninsula; and under the economic and energetic aegis of Russia and China, the peninsula could be included in the One Belt One Road (OBOR), as well as as benefitting from Moscow’s gas.

Of course this scenario clashes with the recent appointments of Mike Pompeo and John Bolton to the top of the American administration, confirmed by the threat of dissolving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) reached with Iran, undoing a deal reached through the efforts of multiple countries.

The consequences would be significant, with the United State coming across as an unreliable state in international relations.

This aspect for Pyongyang, Beijing, Moscow and even Seoul counts up to a certain point. The extraordinary diplomatic message that Kim Jong-un and Xi Jinping have sent to allies and adversaries alike is that to allow for peace and the possibility of reunification for the Korean peninsula, Kim is apparently willing to renounce his nuclear weapons, his most important deterrent.

But interestingly, North Korea has always been able to rely on its formidable conventional deterrent to guarantee its security anyway. For the survival of Kim and his circle, thousands upon thousands of artillery pieces aimed at Seoul are enough to keep any potential aggressor at bay.

Another obvious consideration is that any use by Kim of his nuclear weapons against the United States or its allies would result in the total annihilation of the DPRK. So the question remains: if North Korea has always guaranteed its survival through its conventional deterrence, why has it developed a nuclear deterrent as well on top of this? The most logical answer is so as to bring the United States to the negotiating table.

Pyongyang’s stroke of diplomatic and strategic genius lies in getting the United States to abandon the Korean peninsula in exchange for North Korea renouncing its nuclear arsenal. This hypothesis puts Kim Jong-un on the positive side of the negotiations, coming across as a reasonable and serious negotiating partner willing to find a way to guarantee peace on the whole peninsula.

If Kim Jong-un is willing to give up what apparently, until yesterday, seemed impossible in the interests of reaching an agreement to ensure the survival of the two Koreas, then Pyongyang is presenting itself as Seoul’s guarantor of peace.

The message Moon Jae-in could receive from the negotiations is that an “enemy” like North Korea is willing to give up its most significant weapon, while the Americans march in with the likes of Bolton and Pompeo, ready to slam their fists on the negotiating table by refusing to make any concessions.

While Kim Jong-un has every intention of placing any blame for a failure of negotiations on the American side, and seems to have all the reasons ready in place to do so, the meeting between Kim Jong-un and Xi Jinping seems aimed at laying the groundwork to break the alliance between Seoul and Washington.

We can already imagine the scene, with Pyongyang ready to renounce its nuclear weapons, Seoul ready to enter into dialogue about the reunification of the country, China and Russia happy with the denuclearization of the North, and above all, the elimination of the prospects of a terrible war on the peninsula.

In this climate, Washington would be left completely isolated in refusing to entertain any prospect of abandoning the peninsula.

Thanks to its less-than-perfect relations with its European allies, and its intention to annul the Iranian JCPOA, Washington would leave itself looking like it is neither able to keep its promises nor willing to pursue any credible diplomatic path.

The reality is that an overall agreement between North Korea and the United States is practically impossible for one fundamental reason: the United States uses the excuse of having to protect South Korea to maintain a permanent presence on the peninsula for the purposes of containing China and Russia, both through missile defense and by maintaining a military presence near their borders.

For this reason, while Moscow and Beijing have multiple reasons for seeking an agreement between Pyongyang and Washington, both are aware that the US has no intentions of abandoning its presence in South Korea. The meeting between Kim Jong-un and Trump is a well-designed trap prepared by Moscow, Beijing and Pyongyang, maybe over many months or even years.

The most realistic objectives are to further isolate Washington in the region, to bring Beijing and Seoul closer together, and to drive a wedge between Seoul and Washington. Moscow would use the failure of these negotiations to earn more leverage with its European partners, all eager to see a solution to the Korean crisis. Furthermore, Moscow could increase its opportunity to enter the energy market in South Korea as a result of Seoul diversifying its energy sources.

Beijing has every intention of avoiding a war on the peninsula, which would be disastrous in many respects, not only humanitarian but also in the possibility of Washington camping on China’s border as a result of destroying the DPRK.

South Korea’s Moon Jae-in looks on anxiously, ready to reach an agreement with the North. The mastery of Sino-Korean diplomacy has created a win-win situation for Pyongyang, with Washington’s eventual failure in the negotiations having negative reverberations with her allies in region. This is probably the reason why many in the US administration greeted Trump’s decision to accept talks with Kim negatively.

Accepting to engage in talks signals a preparedness to negotiate. But as we can anticipate, the unwillingness of the Americans to accede to North Korean demands to abandon the peninsula doom the talks. At the same time, Pyongyang’s offer to give up its nuclear weapons will leave Washington bearing responsibility for the failure of the talks if there is no commensurable response.

For this reason, Trump has ingeniously decided to bring in two warmongers like Pompeo and Bolton, intending to scare Kim into a negotiating position more favorable to Washington, a strategy he intends to also pursue in relation to Iran.

The truth is that American diplomacy has no room for maneuver with Korea; and since war is unthinkable, it is not even a real threat.

This leaves Trump with a lot of bluster and a bunch of snarling hawks in tow, but with Pyongyang and Beijing left holding the aces, as will become clear in the coming weeks when all the cards are laid on the negotiating table.

Citations
[1] https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-30/xi-jinping-and-kim-jong-un-make-korea-united-again
[2] https://www.aljazeera.com/profile/j-berkshire-miller.html

[Secret Agent MGTOWParticipant 22514]

I dont see how the reunification happens with one side being a commie dictator god-narcissist madman and the other side free capitalist freedom loving people.

Put it like this. It is like the crazy, sociopathic exwife demanding that her husband take her back and give marriage another try. She will give up the guns but keep the knives. Lots of knives.

Women want everything, but want responsibility and accountability for nothing.

[Y_Participant 4591]

Secret Agent MGTOW wrote:

I dont see how the reunification happens with one side being a commie dictator god-narcissist madman and the other side free capitalist freedom loving people.

Put it like this. It is like the crazy, sociopathic exwife demanding that her husband take her back and give marriage another try. She will give up the guns but keep the knives. Lots of knives.

With all respect to what you wrote SA and your views – it is well known the MSM propaganda machines for the Deep State like to label everyone that they want to take down as commies, madman etc. including Donald Trump.

The Koreans themselves – with the aid of Russia an China – will find a way to come to a mutual solution. Think of West / East Germany. It is their country and the only thing keeping them apart is the threat of USA military action for the last 50 years.

The Korean War was never about Korea. It was about getting a foothold on the Eurasian peninsula and curbing the rise of China.

I would invite you to read my previous article in April 2017 on the Korean War and how it all started. Plus the fact that South Korea is run as a real brutal dictatorship under US auspices which has been documented independently but always silenced by the MSM and Washington.

/forums/topic/the-case-for-north-korea-a-rebuttal-against-the-us-deep-state/

[Secret Agent MGTOWParticipant 22514]

Y_ wrote:

Secret Agent MGTOW wrote:

I dont see how the reunification happens with one side being a commie dictator god-narcissist madman and the other side free capitalist freedom loving people.

Put it like this. It is like the crazy, sociopathic exwife demanding that her husband take her back and give marriage another try. She will give up the guns but keep the knives. Lots of knives.

With all respect to what you wrote SA and your views – it is well known the MSM propaganda machines for the Deep State like to label everyone that they want to take down as commies, madman etc. including Donald Trump.

The Koreans themselves – with the aid of Russia an China – will find a way to come to a mutual solution. Think of West / East Germany. It is their country and the only thing keeping them apart is the threat of USA military action for the last 50 years.

The Korean War was never about Korea. It was about getting a foothold on the Eurasian peninsula and curbing the rise of China.

I would invite you to read my previous article in April 2017 on the Korean War and how it all started. Plus the fact that South Korea is run as a real brutal dictatorship under US auspices which has been documented independently but always silenced by the MSM and Washington.

/forums/topic/the-case-for-north-korea-a-rebuttal-against-the-us-deep-state/

its not propaganda when the regime in question is identified and actually is communist, and that they are run by a cult of personality dictator. its stating a fact.

Women want everything, but want responsibility and accountability for nothing.

[Y_Participant 4591]

Secret Agent MGTOW wrote:

its not propaganda when the regime in question is identified and actually is communist, and that they are run by a cult of personality dictator. its stating a fact.

Please read my prior posts on North Korea. The evolution of the NK political system evolved from the Washington-Korean wars of genocide in the 1950’s. It is the only thing that is keeping them alive as a people.

Yes they have real political problems and their people are starving. Not because of their leader or system. Because of Washington-led illegal sanctions on the civilian population.

Yet they will not give in. They know that they face obliteration otherwise. Their only crime as a people is to resist becoming a slave nation like South Korea – and for that Washington has decreed they die – similar to the native American Indians.

Note I said Washington – the government is to blame not the majority of its good citizens. At least I hope this is true.

Dictator, madmen, warmongers, human rights abusers – these are words used as political tools by the biggest murderer on the planet. Washington also supports every ‘dictator’ in the Middle East and Central America. The words do not indicate the real issues for war or how to solve them.

My point has always been this – vilifying a country is a time-honoured trick for effecting regime change and power projection – and is not going to work anymore.

The world is tired of Washington and its allies calling everyone from Russia to North Korea to Iran as enemies for starting wars.

It remains to be seen whether the American people can come to terms with their history and their place in the coming multi-polar world and devoid of US hegemony.

It does not matter if they don’t – the world is already moving on.

[Duke TogoParticipant 2664]

Yumbo I just thought I would take this opportunity to say welcome back. Your content was something I always read before you left for a while, and I am happy to be able to read it once again.

[Y_Participant 4591]

Duke Togo wrote:

Yumbo I just thought I would take this opportunity to say welcome back. Your content was something I always read before you left for a while, and I am happy to be able to read it once again.

My friend and bro’ – thank you for your kind words.
I also look through your work when I am able.
If you have requests I will gladly oblige.

[743 roadmasterParticipant]

Think Trump played the game very well. Rattle the saber, make some noise, point out to China it’s best interest is to keep NK in control. When China turned back shipments from NK it was a serious wake up call.

mgtow is its own worst enemy- https://www.campusreform.org/

[IGMOW (I Go My Own Way)Participant 2572]

So, South Korea is going to just welcome Un as God Emperor like in the promo trailer for the game Homefront?

Sorry, I don’t buy this. Un isn’t stepping down, and I doubt South Korea wants the United States to leave either.

"I am my own thang. Any questions?" - Davis S Pumpkins.

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