The EU, Demographics and Ethnic Survival

[Y_Participant 4591]

The EU, Demographics and Ethnic Survival

Can the EU survive as a European race? Or will the ethnic Europeans be replaced with immigrants in the next half-century? The case for Germany with the largest number of migrants is examined.

GEFIRA: In 2020, German Society Will Start Collapsing [1]

According to GEFRA Bulletin #22, the next economic crisis is just a couple of years away, and Germany will be its largest victim.

Economies grow, driven by capital and labour. The ECB monetary policy is currently providing the German economy with enough funds, but the country is experiencing a catastrophic lack of youth, and its ageing labour force is not being replaced as a result of which workforce is already in short supply.

Since the German population is declining at a staggering pace, before the end of the century there will only be 22 million indigenous Germans left. Currently the working population has already begun to shrink. This drop is still moderate compared to what will come after 2020. The disappearing of the nation that has just begun will have catastrophic consequences. The German government recorded a large budget surplus last year, a sign that the authorities are not willing or able to invest in their own country.

Germany lacks health care professionals, road construction workers and teachers, but allocating more tax money to this sector makes no sense because there are simply no people available.

For that reason road construction sites have come to a standstill and road maintenance is postponed. In order to find consumers and labourers, the German industry is investing in new factories abroad.

The GEFRA financial bulletin #22 [2] discusses economic consequence of Germany’s demographic winter and how the economic collapse will look like.

In the past, the German economy was able to attract employees from Southern, Eastern and Central Europe, but at present the demographic situation in states such as Spain, Portugal, Italy and Poland – which have long provided Germany with workforce – has worsened, so for all practical purposes these sources of labour have all but dried out.

Poland for instance has lost a large number of young people to the West European labour market and the loss has not been made good because of extremely low fertility. The financial sector depends on a growing economy, but – apart from periods of temporary increase – there is no significant growth, and banks have to unwind their positions by selling their assets and returning cash to their clients.

When the ageing population tries to sell its investments – stocks, obligations or companies – after 2020 they will find a declining working age population that is willing and able to buy these assets. It is already difficult for German business owners to find successors.

This is already the model in Japan and Germany is following the exact same pattern of demographic suicide.

The shrinkage of the consumer base affects adversely the automotive industry. This is being partly remedied by providing immigrants with handouts. The profitability of the German automotive industry depends on China, a country with the fastest growing car market. Germans, however, are only allowed to have plants in China as joint ventures with Chinese partners. As President Trump rightly noticed, German car sales come at a cost which is the transfer of knowledge. Within a couple of years, the Chinese, adopting the Japanese model, will have developed their own car industry, supplanting Volkswagen and BMW from the world markets.

The German society is like most of the Western communities heavily indebted. The growing pension obligation makes German debt obligation in the long run unsustainable. The German economy is facing the same problems as the Japanese economy, which has not grown for twenty years. Japan, Italy, and Spain (the world’s third, ninth and fourteenth economies) are experiencing the demographic winter with all attendant problems. Germany, the world’s fourth largest economy, is next in line.

Academic economists are still blind to what demographers can easily see: after 200 years of continuous growth, the population in the industrial world is decreasing. To put it simply: you cannot have your economy twice as big while at the same time having your population twice as small. Even if productivity quadrupled, there would still be too few consumers of goods and services.

Consider therefore, EU vs non-EU migrant population demographics instead.

The ESJ (European Security Journal) [3] argues that net migration into the EU increases population levels and therefore security. I have never heard of a dumber conclusion.

In 2017, The Economist published their prediction of the evolution of the number of EU citizens up to the year 2050.

Their projection included two scenarios: one considering migration (both immigration and emigration) and one without migration. The Economist showed that, should the EU open up to migration, the number of EU-28 citizens would grow from 512 to 529 million, while if the EU closes down its borders it would fall to 471 million.

Some countries such as Germany, Italy and the Czech Republic, could have problems maintaining the current number of citizens even within the scenario considering migration. Countries, where migration rate will be a particularly fundamental demographic factor, include Sweden, Austria, Germany, Luxembourg and Lithuania.

However, in the case of Lithuania and several others Eastern-and South-European countries, it is assumed that the primary form of migration will be emigration, which will only speed up the population decline.

This does not consider the very real threat to EU societies

As The Australian [4] reports:

“According to official statistics, two-thirds of all migrants registering in Greece and Italy last year were male. A fifth of all those who reached the EU last year were under the age of 18; half had travelled alone. Of those, more than 90 per cent were boys.

The problem of sex ratio imbalance due to refugees and migration is particularly noticeable in Sweden, which has taken more migrants as a proportion of its population than any other European country. Hudson has calculated that among the population in Sweden aged 16-17 years old there are now 123 boys for every 100 girls. But the migrants as a whole are predominantly male:

“Of migrants registering in Greece and Italy, 66.2 per cent were male, according to the International Organisation for Migration. This imbalance may be reduced if men succeed in bringing their wives and children to join them. However, the gender disparity among unaccompanied teenage and child migrants is far greater and unlikely to be corrected”.

In conclusion, Germany’s problems, as well as the greater EU of which it is a part, will only start to accelerate after 2020 when every year the working age population will be reduced by 400 thousand people; by 2028 this number will amount to three-quarters of a million. The disappearance of the European nations will entail the next systemic crisis.

Citations
[1] https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-09/gefira-2020-german-society-will-start-collapsing
[2] https://gefira.org/bulletin/?product=gefira-22-by-the-end-of-the-century-there-will-be-22-million-germans-left
[3] https://www.esjnews.com/migration-demographics-europe
[4] http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/the-times/crime-and-disorder-warning-after-influx-of-male-migrants/news-story/9ef5fbbb905b13532a5ec1b4cde653a2

[Anonymous 1]

An Aging Demographic is not necessarily a bad thing. I think it is a normal response to Overpopulation (Mouse Utopia). The difference between Japan and Germany is one country is actively importing a Replacement Demographic, while the other is preserving their Native Demographic.

The Euro-Zone has decided they would rather import Arabs and Africans than let the Native Demographic reduce their population naturally. The fact that they are importing mostly young men is because they are run by Aging Feminists that are hungry for young exotic dick. They will destroy their own Country for a little Chad action. That’s what happens in a Matriarchy, “Mother Merkel” LOL.

[Jim01Participant 6678]

feminism and abortion…..nice ways to destroy otherwise prosperous countries

[Ranger OneParticipant 16836]

Y_ wrote:

The German government recorded a large budget surplus last year, a sign that the authorities are not willing or able to invest in their own country.

Hmmmmm.

Y_ wrote:

The German society is like most of the Western communities heavily indebted. The growing pension obligation makes German debt obligation in the long run unsustainable.

Sounds like they should apply budget surplus to debt.

Also, cut back on their social programs and entitlements. Exactly WHAT is Germany spending money on? They don’t have the military compared to the US or Russia.

Y_ wrote:

Academic economists are still blind to what demographers can easily see: after 200 years of continuous growth, the population in the industrial world is decreasing. To put it simply: you cannot have your economy twice as big while at the same time having your population twice as small. Even if productivity quadrupled, there would still be too few consumers of goods and services.

Population growth is all about the elites (that economists work for) having a large supply of labor (to reduce the price of labor) and a large supply of consumers (from which to skim the profits of labor).

All my life I've had doubts about who I am, where I belonged. Now I'm like the arrow that springs from the bow. No hesitation, no doubts. The path is clear. And what are you? Alive. Everything else is negotiable. Women have rights; men have responsibilities; MGTOW have freedom. Marriage is for chumps. If someone stands in the way of true justice, you simply walk up behind them and stab them in the heart-R'as al Ghul.

[Anonymous 38]

This is a challenge facing all advanced societies. Technology and change brought in by the state will bridge the gap as we move from the traditional economic model, to something which more resembles Socialism. The state will become more powerful because the gynocracy will continue to run the current model into the ground. 1984 basically.

[It’sallbsParticipant]

Y_ wrote:

he EU survive as a European race?

The EU is not a race, the European Union is a corrupt, totalitarian regime which has destroyed industry in Britain over 40 years.

http://www.leavemeansleave.eu

[RomulusParticipant 4667]

What are the two primary signs your culture has failed……

Your G*d’s are dead and your women are whores.

How can a woman be expected to be happy with a man who insists on treating her as if she were a perfectly normal human being.

[CarnageParticipant 22113]

Sorry gargamel, but f~~~ Germany.

They can go f~~~ themselves for all I care.

To those following me, be careful, I just farted. Men those beans are killers.

[HitmanParticipant]

there will be civil war before the german people surrender.
their government is the problem.
globalist shills want european genocide.
kalgeri plan is in effect.
revenge for WW2 is still a major factor.
israel continues to be an enthno state,
but for white’s it’s mix out w brown peoples.
many will not.
the remainders will have to restore ethnic identity.
common knowledge white groups in U.S. are forming ethno state
like israel…only for white europeans.
can’t blame me ,
i only share what i know about.
.
identitarians are increasing in numbers,
the common folk are waking up.
we shall see if it’s too late.
like a weather forecast,
the projections could be wrong.
they may not be factoring in the rise of the right .
.
outstanding professional work Yumbo…!!!
well done sir !

[Y_Participant 4591]

Hitman wrote:

identitarians are increasing in numbers,
the common folk are waking up.
we shall see if it’s too late.
like a weather forecast,
the projections could be wrong.
they may not be factoring in the rise of the righ

The German people have got to get out of their guilt complex over WWII. The current generation needs to stop apologising from listening to the Western propaganda machine that has made them eternal pariahs.

The common Germans is one of the biggest victims of post WWII Europe. They have suffered more than enough. Time to say ‘no more’ or there will be no more Germany left.

[Faust For ScienceParticipant 22521]

The moment the muslims attempt to enforce bans on alcohol and pork in Europe, all hell will break loose.

Y_ wrote:

The German people have got to get out of their guilt complex over WWII.

Germans having to experience their sons get murdered and their daughters be raped by invading muslims will purge an guilt complex issues from them very quickly.

[MonkParticipant 16988]

Y_ wrote:

The German government recorded a large budget surplus last year …

Deutsche Bank is bankrupt. That doesn’t sound like there’s a surplus to me.

Like every other government, they are fiddling the figures.

[MonkParticipant 16988]

Faust For Science wrote:

The moment the muslims attempt to enforce bans on alcohol and pork in Europe, all hell will break loose.

Already happening in the UK.

Some works canteens and many schools don’t allow pork for anyone. Most schools only use halal chicken.

Forced Islamisisation. No meaningful reaction from the public.

[Faust For ScienceParticipant 22521]

Monk wrote:

Faust For Science wrote:

The moment the muslims attempt to enforce bans on alcohol and pork in Europe, all hell will break loose.

Already happening in the UK.

Some works canteens and many schools don’t allow pork for anyone. Most schools only use halal chicken.

Forced Islamisisation. No meaningful reaction from the public.

Given the sick twisted system the U.S. public school food program is, the above is quite tame.

I am talking about restaurants and industry outside of a prison model system.

[Greg HondaParticipant 6406]

Europe today, America tomorrow.

It's Time to get Wise

[IGMOW (I Go My Own Way)Participant 2572]

Breeding patterns of society are not my problem. I am not breeding. I can’t deal with it. I did have a clever post based on the title, but it doesn’t fit.

"I am my own thang. Any questions?" - Davis S Pumpkins.

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